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Development

Negotiating with Your Builder

August 9, 2014 By Rick Jarvis

Any successful builder is, by default, an extremely accomplished negotiator.  Show me a builder who is poor negotiator and I will show you an ex-builder.

iStock_000011757350Small_jpgBuilders spend most of their waking hours in a confrontational environment.  At almost every level of the building process, from lot prices to wood floor pricing to rezoning to salaries to commissions, negotiating is required.  Do anything all day every day, especially when your survival depends on it, and you will get better at it.  A builder who has been building for any period of time is adept in knowing not only where they stand in any given market, but how to defend their turf with well-honed negotiating skills.

It has been said that builders don’t really negotiate their prices, and while that may be true, it is not necessarily accurate.  In reality, they negotiate, just not in the ways that most people think.

Below are some things to keep in mind when entering into negotiations for a new home:

  • recognize your ‘type’ of builder and know they will fight hard to protect values, especially where they own multiple lots
  • builders secretly love ‘the change order’ despite what they say
  • seriously consider buying a ‘spec’
  • its business, nothing more

Builder Types

Builders tend to fall into two basic categories based on size (or sales volume) and each one will tend to negotiate differently.

Volume Builders (or ‘Track Builders’) sell hundreds of homes a year.  They are sophisticated organizations with many moving parts (often in multiple markets) and they behave more like Target and less like Bob’s Used Cars.  Volume Builders tend to offer packages or incentives to get homes sold (‘$20,000 in upgrades for all contracts prior to June 30′ or ”hardwood floors in the downstairs for all contract ratified by September 30’) and be less likely to negotiate significantly on any individual home.  Their willingness to cut price is driven by a formula and not by a gut feel.

Volume builders also tend to work off of a ‘base + upgrade’ pricing model as opposed to an ‘all-inclusive’ model.  They generally build large stripped down boxes inexpensively and then try to sell you every imaginable upgrade when you make your selections.  I have seen buyers walk out of selection sessions with 25% higher contract prices than when they walked in.  Beware.

A few additional notes – true Volume Builders are managed businesses with quarterly (or yearly) production and sales goals meaning they are typically more aggressive towards the end of a reporting period.  Since they buy lots in bulk, they need to protect values in their neighborhood and thus prefer to give upgrades in lieu of price concessions.  Volume builders also need efficiency to protect their margins so being able to close out a section and consolidate their crews has value to them.  Asking for upgrades, buying the last home in a section and/or towards the end of the quarter (or year) increases the likelihood of a slightly better deal.

The Custom Builder constructs fewer homes but at (hopefully) larger margins.  Generally speaking, they build better houses (although not always true) and operate at or above the average price ranges in any metro area.  They hate to be in competition with Volume Builders and will leave neighborhoods when the ‘volume guys’ show up.

Custom Builders do not keep a large stockpile of lots and thus less vested in keeping pricing high in a neighborhood.  This generally means they don’t really have a strong preference between price concessions or upgrade inclusions.  Since they tend to operate in the upper price points, they may have more room to move on price but still maintain a sufficient profit margin.  Don’t be afraid to probe a bit with the initial offer.

The Change Order

Builders say they hate change orders but in reality, many take it as an opportunity to renegotiate.  A change order is the method by which you and a builder amend the contract to allow for something not in the original contract (add a half bath, change the granite color, put a pedestrian door in the garage, etc.)

When you contract to build a home, the builder prices based on his costs today but delivers the product to you in the future.  The 6-12 months of construction time means the builder holds the risk of price increases for materials, labor and interest carry from for a significant period of time.  If material prices spike (and make no mistake, prices do fluctuate in the building materials market), the builder does not have the right to come to you and ask for a higher price.  Change orders, at least on some level, allow them the opportunity to recapture some lost profit.

Try to keep change orders to a minimum as they benefit the builder far more than they benefit you.

Consider Buying a Spec

The ‘spec’ home (SPECulative home) is a home a builder begins in the hopes a buyer will emerge at some point prior to completion.

[ ‘SPEC’ Homes For Sale ]

Generally speaking, a ‘spec’ will have more options/upgrades included and with a builder more motivated to make a deal.  As the home approaches completion, a builder’s motivation will increase.  Typically, construction lenders will only allow builders to have a limited number of unsold properties standing at any given time and thus an unsold spec both costs a builder interest carry cost AND prevents them from profiting on another home.  One should also note a builder will usually ‘spec’ their better floor plans, meaning the market feels favorably about the design.

While the ‘spec’ may not exactly what you want, it is often the best deal at any given time in the marketplace.

It’s Just Business

Remember, builders not only negotiate with you, the buyer, but with sub-contractors, suppliers and developers.  Consequently, their methods may be a bit gruff so don’t be put off by blunt or standoffish behaviors during negotiations.  To any good builder, a contract is simply another business decision and they treat it as such.  (As a side note, builders are generally pretty straightforward folks and they don’t like tricks…if they feel as if you are not negotiating in good faith, they will be less likely to meet your number.)

For the average buyer, there is far more emotion attached to a home purchase and many times the feelings at the end of the contract negotiation are more contentious than they should be.  Odds are, the builder does not feel the same angst as you.

Summary

The decision to build a home should not be taken lightly and requires far more thought and preparation than purchasing an existing home.  Entering into negotiations with a builder is also far more complex than buying a resale and in most cases, the builder enters into the engagement with superior experience and knowledge.  But remember, ‘negotiating’ with a builder is not what makes the decision to build a good one or a poor one.  Making a good decision comes from understanding what you are trying to accomplish, setting limits and knowing where you stand.

 

We go into far greater detail about many different aspects of home building in the series of posts you can find here...

 

 

 

 

VCU Housing Market

July 30, 2014 By Rick Jarvis

Virginia Commonwealth University (or VCU) is a 30,000 student entity broken down into two campuses.

VCU Richmond VA

The Medical School Campus, located near the Broad Street/Interstate 95 interchange in Downtown Richmond, surrounds the VCU Health Center and is known by many old Richmonder’s as MCV. The main campus (Monroe Park Campus) that straddles Belvidere and Broad Streets between Monroe Ward and The Fan District, is home to the non-medical programs in the arts (both performing and visual), business, engineering and advertising. The main campus, sometimes referred to as the Monroe Park Campus, is far larger than the Medical Campus and educates the University’s undergraduate students and non-medical graduate students.

Virginia_Commonwealth_University_Maps

VCU relies heavily on the private sector to provide housing for its students. While there are some dormitory options for students, the large majority of the students live ‘off-campus.’ The term ‘off-campus’ in VCU vernacular means ‘adjacent to campus’ and therefore a short walk, bus trip or bike ride away. Living options targeted at the student population are far more prevalent surrounding the main (Monroe Park Campus) than the Medical Campus Downtown. This makes the housing market for the medical student far more varied and challenging.

The Medical Campus

212-interior
The 212 is one of the closest condo projects to the Medical Campus and located in eastern Jackson Ward.

For the medical students, finding a place close by means considering housing in Richmond neighborhoods that are still in transition. The neighborhoods that immediately surround the Medical Campus are Jackson Ward/Carver, Downtown, Shockoe Bottom and arguably Church Hill. All of these neighborhoods have been in the process of being aggressively redeveloped after receiving historic designations in the early 2000’s. Being designated ‘historic’ makes many federal and state incentive programs available for developers to renovate older structures and it has been used extensively to help bring life back to many blighted sections in Richmond.

Several condo projects are available close to the Medical Campus in both the Jackson Ward neighborhood and Downtown. In Jackson Ward, available for sale condos can be found in The 212, The Marshall Street Bakery and The Emrick Flats. In the Downtown neighborhood, available projects include the Vistas on the James, Riverside on the James and Gotham. The fractured condo project in the old Miller and Rhodes building Is no longer being marketed for sale and is now functioning as apartments. It offers a good option for those seeking close proximity to the Medical Campus.

Monroe Park Campus

The neighborhoods of the Fan District, Oregon Hill, Monroe Ward and Jackson Ward/Carver all surround the main Monroe Park Campus. Tenement styled 3-story walk up apartments (some renovated and some not) surround VCU to the west in the Fan along with many row homes that can be purchased by parents for their children. In the working class neighborhood of Oregon Hill to the south, the housing stock is decidedly less luxurious and therefore popular with the students. Housing in Oregon Hill can be purchased or leased relatively inexpensively. In Carver to the north, many older warehouse structures have been converted into loft styled apartments and offer a more modern option for the undergraduate student. Housing in Carver and Jackson Ward can also be purchased relatively inexpensively. Several condo and townhome projects provide newer options close to the Monroe Park campus including the Cary Mews, The Overlook, Tribeca, Iron House Place, The Windsor and the Cary Flats.

Overall, the housing market surrounding both campuses is very diverse with many shapes, sizes and prices all within a reasonable walk to either. The fact that the private sector provides much of the student housing means more options for parents including single family homes, row homes, town homes, condos, lofts and flats. With interest rates and pricing at some of the lowest points in decades, it means a wonderful option to offset some of the cost of tuition with a strategic purchase.

Space, the Ultimate Luxury…or is it?

July 29, 2014 By Rick Jarvis

iStock_000014411428Small
I wonder if outer space will ever have traffic problems…

Space is the ultimate American luxury.

Elbow room, manifest destiny, large SUV’s, acreage, privacy, trees … all of these items help us create the luxury we call space.  It is somehow American (or perhaps, just plain human nature) to be insular and protected in where we live.  We want our homes to back up to trees (or better yet, woods!) and to have places to go and seek asylum within our own homes.

Yet in the same breath, we want to be close to things.  Restaurants, coffee shops, quaint boutiques, parks, culture and events … all within a short walk is highly desirable. The ability to walk to the market to get a loaf of bread or to the local cafe where the proprietor greets you by name is also alluring.  Being immune to the whims of traffic and the yin and yang of rush hour is empowering in so many ways.  We forget sometimes how refreshing it is to walk from point A to point B and thus we think in terms of how quickly can we get to where we are going and not how much we will enjoy the journey.

What is unfortunate is both of these wishes (elbow room versus proximity) largely preclude the other.

It is no secret that the suburban development model allows for more ‘privacy.’  While some lot sizes are small, they are still far larger than the typical urban lot.  Many of the the neighborhoods of Richmond have lots as small as 7,000 square feet (SF) such as The Fan, Museum District, Church Hill, Jackson Ward and Manchester.  This compares to the 1/3 acre standard in most suburban settings (15,000 – 20,000 SF) with more width and more trees (usually) to give some semblance of privacy.

Ironically, the suburban development model which has been in vogue since the advent of the automobile, has actually taken the one invention designed to connect us (the car) and turned into an instrument which does the exact opposite (traffic.)  Our current development practice isolates our uses from one another.  Office parks only contain office space.  Residential neighborhoods only contain residences.  Retail strip centers are constructed in retail or commercial corridors.  This isolation of uses only forces us to build more roads and widen our interstates.   The result is more and more time lost in traffic and an increased burden on our taxes to pay for more and more infrastructure.

So what is the answer?

West Broad Village is selling at a rate 3-4x the market in 2011 due to its walkability to entertainment and shopping and excellent interstate access.
West Broad Village is selling at a rate 3-4x the market due to its walkability to entertainment and shopping and excellent interstate access.

New Urbanism may be one.  The ‘New Urbanist’ movement has many different interpretations but essentially asks the question – if we could build a city from the ground up, starting today, what would it look like?  Richmond is now seeing examples of NU thinking creeping into our new suburban development.  The Village at Rocketts Landing and West Broad Village are the two most well known examples of New Urbanism in Richmond.  Currently under development is the Libbie Mill project near the Staples Mill/I64 Interchange by Gumenick Properties.  However, these projects are dwarfed in size by the potential live/work/play retooling of the Innsbrook Office Park.

The size and scale of Innsbrook (1300 acres,) already home to some of the nicest and most highly occupied suburban low and mid rise office space, makes this a true ‘game-changer’ for Richmond.  Libbie Mill is attempting to combine residential, retail and office into one development but its relatively small size (80 acres) prevents it from changing the landscape of Richmond.  West Broad Village combines housing and retail (as does Rockett’s, albeit on a far less successful scale) but they both lack the office component.  Residents of West Broad Village and Rocketts still generally need to drive to and from work, while Innsbrook will offer the potential for someone to exist almost wholly within the development.  Being able to live, work AND play in the same development or neighborhood does not really exist anywhere in Richmond on any scale, even within the oldest neighborhoods of the City.

And while a true 1/3 acre suburban lot may not be available in Innsbrook, the greens spaces provided may lessen the impact of the density and the mix of retail, residential AND office will be a powerful draw. Will we see the demise of the suburban planned neighborhood?  Not likely, but we are on the leading edge of seeing more instances of all property types in closer proximity to one another to hopefully shorten the distance between space, services and employment.

2014 Outlook for Richmond VA Real Estate

January 3, 2014 By Rick Jarvis

2013 was ________ (amazing, as expected, good, bad, awful, medium, depressing, record-breaking, thankfully behind us, the year it got better, other)…I have heard them all.

Depending on who you spoke with, any one of those terms/phrases could have been used to describe the year.  Some home builders had amazing years…others not so much.  Realtors, ditto.  Apartment developers had it great, especially in Downtown Richmond.  Commercial lenders probably did ok.  Mortgage lenders made enough money in the first half of the year to make them think it was 2006 again yet probably thought the last half of the year was more like 2010.

As with almost everything in life, it all depends on your perspective.  But since I am writing this on January 3, 2014, I feel as if I need to offer a prediction.

So what will 2014 bring?  Lets take a look at the factors which may give us an idea.

iStock_000028618614XSmallInterest Rates

January of 2013 began with 30 year money in the mid-3% range.  They stayed there until the spring when they began their gradual climb to their current levels in the mid 4’s.  We enter this January with 30 year money at about 4.5% and more significantly, there was not a huge jump when the Fed announced that they would began to curtail their buydown of rates (think QE 1, 2 and 3).  That is also a good thing as the market is still a bit fragile and shocks don’t go over well.

Most pundits are predicting a relatively flat year with more upwards pressure than downwards pressure. However, these markets are subject to rapid change and with the Fed no longer throwing money at the problem, the artificial tonic keeping rates down is now gone and the market will rule. While there could be an occasional dip in rates, rates above 5% (or maybe even 6%) are soon to be the new normal and the days of 4% 30 year money will be something we tell our grandchildren.

Home Mortgage Rates
View More Interest Rates

It should also be noted that more and more of the leverage in the market (which was no where to be found in 08-12) has returned. Lenders have slowly taken a more aggressive stance towards ‘loan to values’ meaning less equity is required to purchase.

The return of leverage is a key to creation of buyers and more buyers means more pressure on inventory.

Inventory

While the official numbers for December are not in yet, they will be very similar (the chart below will auto-refresh to the most recent data but at the time this piece was written, November inventory numbers were the last update.)  In November of 2012 and November of 2013, the inventory count of available properties (in the Richmond region) was almost even, showing that slightly above 5,000 homes available ‘For Sale.’  While similar to a year earlier, this does not really tell the whole story.  In 2013, the inventory count barely rose as the demand for housing exceeded the previous year’s demand significantly.  For the most part, inventory levels in 2013 were at a multi-decade low and 50% below the peaks of 2009.

If demand is similar or exceeds the levels of last spring, inventory shortages will be even more extreme and the accompanying conditions (short marketing times, multiple offers) will be even more prevalent than in spring of ’13.  These conditions came as a shock to much of the buying public and caused many to miss out on opportunities.

It should be noted that leading edge web traffic counts are currently trending anywhere from 12-18% above this time last year.

Other Indexes

The Dow began ’13 at 13,000…it begins ’14 closer to 16,500.
The NASDAQ began ’13 just over 3,000…it begins ’14 just over 4,000. As a matter of a fact, in 2007, the NASDAQ topped out at just under 3,000…meaning the market is already back above where it was before the crash.

While it is simplistic (and dangerous) to draw too many conclusions about housing demand from stock indexes, it does indicate an expectation by Wall Street that the country’s economy is in a better condition than a year ago.  As confidence increases, people feel more and more comfortable with making commitments.

S_P_Homebuilders_Select_Industry_Index_-_S_P_Dow_Jones_IndicesAnother interesting note is the S and P Homebuilders Select Industry Index change in the past 12 months.

In 2013, it rose by 20%, indicating that Wall Street felt pretty good about owning the stocks of the national home builders. These feelings are primarily due to the historically low inventory levels and the fact that lot production has dropped even more significantly than the production of new homes. Lot production will be one of the next issues the market will have to address as the lead time on a new lot is 12-18 months.

Summary

Overall, the pressures on housing are largely (and strongly) positive with historically low rates and tight inventory.

While the interest rates have risen, compared to historical norms, they are still ridiculously low.  Almost all of the national economic predictions are indicating a 5% increase in house prices.  When you look at the conditions locally, it could be even greater as the supply of housing is restricted by factors that do not exist in many other markets.  Those who wish to enter the market in 2014 need to be cognizant of the fact that selection, especially in mature or fixed areas will be low and any opportunity to purchase a quality home should be taken very seriously.

Citizen 6 New Homes in Richmond VA

December 30, 2013 By Rick Jarvis

I have long held the belief that the best real estate developments are ‘about something.’  The Citizen 6 Project is certainly ‘about something.’

A development can be about location, design, size, views, layouts, schools, neighborhood, proximity, affordability, exclusivity, history or any other number of reasons. The best ones appeal to a specific segment of the market very powerfully and the poor ones do not. Those which hold value the longest are also the ones who appeal to their market in a superlative way.

The Citizen 6 project is a group of six new homes built along Floyd Avenue in the Fan district of Richmond VA. Located along the 2600 block of Floyd, near the Virginia Museum of Fine Arts and Carytown, Citizen 6 offers its owners an amazing combination of attributes sure to make this powerful contributor to Richmond’s real estate landscape for decades.

< Download the Brochure here >

The first thing you notice is the look of the homes. Professionally designed with a decidedly modern aesthetic, the homes of Citizen 6 will be recognizable by all. Richmond’s architecture, especially in our older neighborhoods, is generally traditional period architecture. One of Richmond’s most talented architects was enlisted to ensure that Citizen 6’s striking and sleek exterior envelope will both contrast and compliment the existing housing stock of such an important Richmond neighborhood.

For developers, it is hard to find opportunities to develop in neighborhoods where development is not pioneering. Most redevelopment occurs in areas where redevelopment is needed due to blight or obsolescence. For Citizen 6, this is exactly the opposite. The site was underutilized and replacing a vacant parking lot and small ‘non-period’ office building with 6 new homes was a far higher use of the property. The fact that this site is located a mere 4 blocks from both Carytown and The VMFA, as well as so many other amenities inherent in the Fan means that the new residents will be met with one of Richmond’s most pedestrian-friendly neighborhoods on the day they move in, not years or decades later.

Lastly, the ability to own a new home, with the latest technologies and materials is many’s dream. It is rare to find new construction in a neighborhood whose average home is approximately 100 years old. Citizen 6 offers precisely that – the best in materials and techniques in and amongst the best amenities a century old neighborhood can provide.

While the reasons listed above are important, there are other reasons why Citizen 6 is important. The appeal of the modern design, the open and flowing interiors, the first and floor master suites, off street parking, the potential for Floyd Avenue to become a ‘Bicycle Boulevard’ and the responsible/green building methods are some others.

We are pretty excited to be a part of the project.

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